![\"\"](\"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/07\/vladimir-pikora-x-292x300.jpg\")
Um\u00edm si \u017eiv\u011b p\u0159edstavit, jak se nyn\u00ed budou politici p\u0159\u00edt o to, jak skon\u010dil rozpo\u010det. Ur\u010dit\u011b maj\u00ed pravdu ti, kte\u0159\u00ed budou tvrdit, \u017ee je \u00fasp\u011bchem, \u017ee se da\u0159\u00ed sni\u017eovat deficit. Z\u00e1rove\u0148 ale maj\u00ed pravdu i ti, kte\u0159\u00ed tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee to je m\u00e1lo. Zda uv\u011b\u0159\u00edte vl\u00e1d\u011b nebo opozici je na v\u00e1s.<\/p>\n
J\u00e1 osobn\u011b si mysl\u00edm, \u017ee je to hrozn\u00fd v\u00fdsledek \u2013 asi jako byste \u0161li na olympi\u00e1du b\u011b\u017eet maraton a p\u0159ib\u011bhli druh\u00fd den. Kdokoli, kdo p\u0159edlo\u017e\u00ed rozpo\u010det s deficitem v \u0159\u00e1du stovek miliard, je \u0161\u00edlenec. Um\u011bl bych si p\u0159edstavit, kdyby \u0159ekli, \u017ee za to postavili nov\u00fd blok jadern\u00e9 elektr\u00e1rny, ale nic takov\u00e9ho tady nen\u00ed.<\/p>\n
Obvykle sly\u0161\u00edme, \u017ee sni\u017eovat deficit nejde. Nen\u00ed to pravda! J\u00e1 si mysl\u00edm, \u017ee by \u0161lo rozpo\u010det sestavit dokonce p\u0159ebytkov\u00fd a v\u016fbec bych nemusel sahat na soci\u00e1ln\u00ed d\u00e1vky. Musela by k tomu b\u00fdt ale politick\u00e1 odvaha, proto\u017ee by se s\u00e1hlo na pen\u00edze mnoha lidem p\u0159is\u00e1t\u00fdm na er\u00e1r.<\/p>\n
O tom, \u017ee to jde, p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010duje sv\u011bt argentinsk\u00fd prezident Javier Milei. Ten dok\u00e1zal v brut\u00e1ln\u011b p\u0159edlu\u017een\u00e9 zemi sesekat deficity tak, \u017ee tomu nikdo ze z\u00e1padn\u00edch m\u00e9di\u00ed nev\u011b\u0159il. Vysm\u00edvali se mu jako bl\u00e1znovi. Prost\u011b m\u00e1me moc \u00fa\u0159ad\u016f, moc dotac\u00ed, moc da\u0148ov\u00fdch v\u00fdjimek apod.<\/p>\n
P\u0159\u00edjmy rozpo\u010dtu meziro\u010dn\u011b vzrostly o 51,3 miliard na 1 965,4 mld. K\u010d. V\u00fddaje vzrostly o 34,1 miliard na neuv\u011b\u0159iteln\u00fdch 2 236,8 mld. K\u010d. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee st\u00e1t vybral o 3 desetiny procenta v\u00edce pen\u011bz, ne\u017e \u010dekal a vydal o dv\u011b desetiny m\u00e9n\u011b. A to d\u011bl\u00e1 t\u011bch deset miliard, o kter\u00e9 skon\u010dil deficit l\u00e9pe, ne\u017e se pl\u00e1novalo. A te\u010f si vzpome\u0148te, jak p\u0159ed p\u00e1r t\u00fddny ministr financ\u00ed prohl\u00e1sil, \u017ee mu tam n\u011bkde hapruje jen procento. Vid\u00edte, kolik miliard d\u011bl\u00e1 p\u00e1r desetinek.<\/p>\n
P\u0159edpokl\u00e1d\u00e1m j\u00e1sot vl\u00e1dn\u00edch politik\u016f nad t\u00edm, \u017ee deficit p\u0159inesl meziro\u010dn\u00ed zlep\u0161en\u00ed o 17,1 mld. K\u010d. To je jist\u011b dobr\u00e9, ale je to sm\u011b\u0161n\u011b m\u00e1lo. Pamatujete si, jak v kv\u011btnu 2023 p\u0159i\u0161la vl\u00e1da s konsolida\u010dn\u00edm bal\u00ed\u010dkem? Tehdy panovalo velk\u00e9 nad\u0161en\u00ed z toho, kdy\u017e vl\u00e1da tvrdila, \u017ee ka\u017ed\u00fd rok sn\u00ed\u017e\u00ed deficit o 70 mld. K\u010d. Mnoz\u00ed j\u00ed to nejsp\u00ed\u0161 i v\u011b\u0159ili. No, a dopadlo to jako v\u017edycky. Je z toho kr\u00e1sn\u00fdch 17 miliard. Tak\u017ee gratulace do Strakovky.<\/p>\n
Budi\u017e vl\u00e1d\u011b ke cti, \u017ee se j\u00ed poda\u0159ilo nep\u0159ekro\u010dit deficit, kter\u00fd si vyty\u010dila. Toho se nyn\u00ed mnoz\u00ed dr\u017e\u00ed a \u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed, \u017ee z toho plyne, \u017ee i deficit roku 2025 skon\u010d\u00ed l\u00e9pe, ne\u017e byl napl\u00e1nov\u00e1n. J\u00e1 s t\u00edm nemohu souhlasit. Z v\u00fdsledku roku 2024 toti\u017e pro rok 2025 neplyne v\u016fbec nic.<\/p>\n
Rok je volebn\u00ed. Je velk\u00e1 pravd\u011bpodobnost, \u017ee p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u011b bude u kormidla \u00fapln\u011b jin\u00fd ministr. Snaha st\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00edho ministra dodr\u017eet rozpo\u010det bude tedy podstatn\u011b ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e letos. Naopak bude touha se rychle zavd\u011b\u010dit voli\u010d\u016fm a rychle v\u0161echno utratit. Pr\u016fzkumy ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho m\u00edn\u011bn\u00ed jsou prost\u011b ne\u00faprosn\u00e9.<\/p>\n
Dan\u011b to p\u0159ekvapiv\u011b nebyly. Inkaso z dan\u00ed rostlo jen o 2,8 %. To p\u0159\u00edjem z pojistn\u00e9ho posko\u010dil hned o 9,2 %. Naopak pokles p\u0159\u00edjmu zaznamenal st\u00e1t ze sv\u00e9ho majetku. Op\u011bt se uk\u00e1zalo, \u017ee st\u00e1t nen\u00ed dobr\u00fd hospod\u00e1\u0159. Na dividend\u00e1ch a podobn\u00fdch p\u0159\u00edjmech z\u00edskal o 27 miliard korun m\u00e9n\u011b ne\u017e loni.<\/p>\n
Za dojn\u00e9 kr\u00e1vy byly op\u011bt zam\u011bstnanci. Ti zaplatili na dan\u00edch o 15,6 % v\u00edce ne\u017e loni. Ministerstvo se p\u0159itom chlub\u00ed, \u017ee za vy\u0161\u0161\u00edm v\u00fdb\u011brem st\u00e1l pr\u00e1v\u011b konsolida\u010dn\u00ed bal\u00ed\u010dek. A v roce 2025 bude pro zam\u011bstnance je\u0161t\u011b h\u016f\u0159. Tak se m\u00e1me na co t\u011b\u0161it.<\/p>\n
Naopak firmy zaplatily na dan\u00edch o 5,3 % m\u00e9n\u011b. St\u00e1t to vysv\u011btluje zaplacen\u00fdmi z\u00e1lohami, ale j\u00e1 si to vysv\u011btluji dobrou prac\u00ed da\u0148ov\u00fdch poradc\u016f.<\/p>\n
Celkov\u00e9 v\u00fddaje st\u00e1tu rostly meziro\u010dn\u011b jen o 1,6 %. To je na jednu stranu dob\u0159e. Je to ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed r\u016fst, ne\u017e \u010din\u00ed inflace. Na druhou stranu my m\u00e1me tak ob\u0159\u00ed v\u00fddaje z roku 2023, \u017ee jsme pot\u0159ebovali v\u00fddaje sn\u00ed\u017eit, a ne je zase zvy\u0161ovat. Tady je pot\u0159eba \u0161krtat.<\/p>\n
A kdy\u017e v\u00e1m n\u011bkdo \u0159ekne, \u017ee to nejde, proto\u017ee to jsou v\u00fddaje dan\u00e9 z\u00e1konem, tak z toho plyne, \u017ee je ten z\u00e1kon \u0161patn\u00fd, a je t\u0159eba ho zm\u011bnit. Tak jednoduch\u00e9 to je. Jen\u017ee \u0159\u00edct, \u017ee to nejde, je je\u0161t\u011b snaz\u0161\u00ed, a tak se o zm\u011bnu nikdo ani nesna\u017e\u00ed.<\/p>\n
Ohromn\u00fdm pr\u016f\u0161vihem je, \u017ee st\u00e1t musel na \u00faroky ze sv\u00e9ho dluhu vydat 88,5 mld. K\u010d. To je v\u00edce pen\u011bz, ne\u017e maj\u00ed velk\u00e1 ministerstva, a p\u0159itom jsou to pen\u00edze vyhozen\u00e9 z okna. Za ty \u0161lo postavit skoro 200 velk\u00fdch \u0161kol nebo mnoho des\u00edtek kilometr\u016f d\u00e1lnic.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
Vladim\u00edr PIKORA, hlavn\u00ed ekonom skupiny Comfort Finance Group<\/strong><\/p>\n Ps\u00e1no pro Den\u00edk.to<\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Deficit st\u00e1tn\u00edho <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":333833,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"gallery","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11,85,121],"tags":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2025\/01\/08\/pikora-080125.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/333759"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=333759"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/333759\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":333837,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/333759\/revisions\/333837"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/333833"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=333759"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=333759"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=333759"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
\nJin\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvky autora:<\/h6>\n
VLADIM\u00cdR PIKORA: Platy jako v N\u011bmecku? Pro\u010d ne rovnou nejvy\u0161\u0161\u00ed na sv\u011bt\u011b?!<\/a><\/h4>\n
VLADIM\u00cdR PIKORA: Ceny se zase trhaj\u00ed ze \u0159et\u011bzu<\/a><\/h4>\n
VLADIM\u00cdR PIKORA: Tohle u\u017e nen\u00ed rozpo\u010det, ale v\u00fdsm\u011bch!<\/a><\/h4>\n
VLADIM\u00cdR PIKORA: Inflace roste, ale vl\u00e1da \u0159e\u0161\u00ed sv\u00e9 platy \u2013 kdy se probud\u00ed?<\/a><\/h4>\n
VLADIM\u0154 PIKORA: M\u00e1me tajn\u00fd evropsk\u00fd dluh, ale nev\u00edme, jak ho \u0159e\u0161it<\/a><\/h4>\n
VLADIM\u00cdR PIKORA: Polsko n\u00e1s doh\u00e1n\u00ed ve v\u0161ech sm\u011brech. N\u011bkde je dokonce d\u00e1l ne\u017e my<\/a><\/h4>\n
VLADIM\u00cdR PIKORA: Ceny nemovitost\u00ed zase rostou. Hypot\u00e9ky sice klesaj\u00ed, ale nestoj\u00ed to za \u0159e\u010d<\/a><\/h4>\n
VLADIM\u00cdR PIKORA: \u010cesk\u00fd statistick\u00fd \u00fa\u0159ad dnes zve\u0159ejnil data o \u010dervnov\u00e9m v\u00fdvoji cen v\u00fdrobc\u016f<\/a><\/h4>\n
VLADIM\u00cdR PIKORA: \u00darokov\u00e9 sazby d\u00e1le v\u00fdrazn\u011b klesaj\u00ed<\/a><\/h4>\n
VLADIM\u00cd PIKORA: Inflace brzd\u00ed. Otev\u00edr\u00e1 prostor k mal\u00e9mu sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed \u00farokov\u00fdch sazeb<\/a><\/h4>\n
VLADIM\u00cdR PIKORA: Pr\u016fmysl st\u00e1le pad\u00e1<\/a><\/h4>\n
VLADIM\u00cdR PIKORA: Re\u00e1ln\u00e9 mzdy zase rostou<\/a><\/h4>\n
VLADIM\u00cdR PIKORA: Benz\u00edn a nafta brut\u00e1ln\u011b zdra\u017e\u00ed<\/a><\/h4>\n
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