![\"\"](\"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/03\/07\/vladimir-pikora-x-292x300.jpg\")
Rozum\u00edm, \u017ee kdysi podobn\u00fdm v\u00fdrok\u016fm n\u011bkdo v\u011b\u0159il, ale nech\u00e1pu, jak jim m\u016f\u017ee n\u011bkdo v\u011b\u0159it dnes. Jak si n\u00e1sledn\u011b uk\u00e1\u017eeme, vize premi\u00e9ra je jasn\u00fd p\u0159edvolebn\u00ed vzdu\u0161n\u00fd z\u00e1mek. Pokud je toto nov\u00e9 p\u0159edvolebn\u00ed heslo, tak je to podobn\u00e1 le\u017e, jako \u017ee vl\u00e1da SPOLU nebude zvedat dan\u011b.<\/p>\n
Ptal jsem s n\u011bkolika voli\u010d\u016f SPOLU, zda jim nevad\u00ed, \u017ee premi\u00e9r \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 takov\u00e9 vyb\u00e1jen\u00e9 nesmysly. A ti mi k m\u00e9mu p\u0159ekvapen\u00ed \u0159ekli, \u017ee jim to nevad\u00ed, proto\u017ee Babi\u0161 tak\u00e9 l\u017ee, a proto kdyby Fiala nelhal, bude v nev\u00fdhod\u011b. Jin\u00fdmi slovy, pova\u017euj\u00ed lhan\u00ed za nezbytnost a v\u016fbec jim nevad\u00ed, \u017ee je to populismus.<\/p>\n
Kdy\u017e se pak pod\u00edv\u00e1te na volebn\u00ed pr\u016fzkumy, tak zjist\u00edte, \u017ee minim\u00e1ln\u011b polovina voli\u010d\u016f si populismus \u017e\u00e1d\u00e1. V\u011bt\u0161in\u011b voli\u010d\u016f tedy nejde o program. Jedni vol\u00ed antiBabi\u0161 a druz\u00ed antiFiala. Na argumenty se u\u017e nehraje, co\u017e je \u0161koda. Politika se tak vyprazd\u0148uje. Nem\u016f\u017eete se divit, \u017ee politici nep\u0159edkl\u00e1daj\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e9 chytr\u00e9 vize \u010di pl\u00e1ny.<\/p>\n
O tom, \u017ee je v\u00fdrok premi\u00e9ra nesmysln\u00fd by \u0161lo napsat v\u011bdeckou pr\u00e1ci. J\u00e1 se to ale pokus\u00edm vysv\u011btlit velmi jednodu\u0161e, abych obe\u0161el v\u0161echny hr\u00e1tky s produktivitou, kurzem koruny apod. Mo\u017en\u00e1 to bude zn\u00edt pro n\u011bkoho kac\u00ed\u0159sky, ale j\u00e1 si mysl\u00edm, \u017ee v m\u00e9m \u017eivot\u011b nikdy nedos\u00e1hneme na n\u011bmeck\u00e9 platy. Aby premi\u00e9rovo prohl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed platilo, musela by se v Evrop\u011b st\u00e1t n\u011bjak\u00e1 extr\u00e9mn\u00ed zm\u011bna, jako revoluce apod.<\/p>\n
\u010cesk\u00e1 republika je t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 cel\u00e1 koupena kapit\u00e1lem z N\u011bmecka, Rakouska a dal\u0161\u00edch z\u00e1padn\u00edch zem\u00ed. A\u017e na v\u00fdjimky zde vlastn\u011b nen\u00ed \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 centr\u00e1la. To, \u017ee je n\u011bkdo gener\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0159editel banky neznamen\u00e1, \u017ee je v jej\u00ed struktu\u0159e nejv\u00fd\u0161e postaven\u00fd. Nad n\u00edm je je\u0161t\u011b \u0161\u00e9f pro v\u00fdchodn\u00ed Evropu a nad n\u00edm n\u011bjak\u00fd \u010dlen p\u0159edstavenstva centr\u00e1ly a nad n\u00edm skute\u010dn\u00fd gener\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0159editel.<\/p>\n
Plat\u00ed p\u0159itom, \u017ee \u010d\u00edm v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed \u0161\u00e9f, t\u00edm v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pen\u00edze. \u010cesk\u00fd a n\u011bmeck\u00fd gener\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0159editel se tak obvykle nemohou srovn\u00e1vat. A tak to plat\u00ed v cel\u00e9 ekonomice. Je tu ur\u010dit\u00e1 hierarchie mezd. Vymysl\u00edm si t\u0159eba, \u017ee gener\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0159editel m\u00e1 t\u0159eba 30x v\u00edce ne\u017e ukl\u00edze\u010dka. Podobn\u00fd pom\u011br plat\u00ed v N\u011bmecku i v \u010cR. \u010cesk\u00e1 ukl\u00edze\u010dka pak nikdy nem\u016f\u017ee dos\u00e1hnout na plat n\u011bmeck\u00e9.<\/p>\n
Samoz\u0159ejm\u011b je to zjednodu\u0161en\u00e9, zanedb\u00e1v\u00e1m bonusy, cenov\u00e9 hladiny apod. Ale je to jednoduch\u00e9 vysv\u011btlen\u00ed. Cestou k tomu, abychom se z tohoto marasmu vymanili je to, aby v \u010cR m\u011bly v\u011bt\u0161inu \u010desk\u00e9 firmy a ne n\u011bjac\u00ed subdodavatel\u00e9 v\u00fdrobk\u016f s n\u00edzkou p\u0159idanou hodnotou v r\u00e1mci n\u011bmeck\u00fdch holding\u016f.<\/p>\n
Pokud bude v\u00edce firem typu Rohl\u00edk, dostaneme se \u00fapln\u011b jinam. To je firma se s\u00eddlem v \u010cR, dan\u00edc\u00ed v \u010cR apod. Bohu\u017eel na\u0161e vl\u00e1da vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed takov\u00e9 podm\u00ednky, \u017ee v\u011bt\u0161ina v\u011bt\u0161\u00edho \u010desk\u00e9ho kapit\u00e1lu odch\u00e1z\u00ed. Neinvestuj\u00ed tady, vid\u00ed p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost v zahrani\u010d\u00ed. \u010casto maj\u00ed s\u00eddlo na Kypru nebo Nizozemsku.<\/p>\n
Tak\u017ee nen\u00ed pravdou, \u017ee kv\u016fli EU to nejde. Nizozemsko to zvl\u00e1d\u00e1. J\u00e1 p\u0159itom za posledn\u00edch zhruba 20 let nevid\u00edm nic, \u010d\u00edm by se vl\u00e1da sna\u017eila zlep\u0161it podnikatelsk\u00e9 prost\u0159ed\u00ed, aby v \u010cesku firmy z\u016fst\u00e1valy.
\nA pak se div\u00edme, jak n\u00e1s Polsko rychle doh\u00e1n\u00ed a brzo bude ve v\u0161em lep\u0161\u00ed. Tam jsou vize a asi se tam tak nekrade z dotac\u00ed.<\/p>\n
Pokud by to n\u011bkoho zaj\u00edmalo, doporu\u010duji prolistovat pr\u00e1ce Thomase Pikettyho. Je to sice levi\u010d\u00e1k, ale m\u00e1 pravdu, kdy\u017e tvrd\u00ed, \u017ee centralizace kapit\u00e1lu v rukou n\u011bkolika st\u00e1t\u016f p\u0159irozen\u011b vytv\u00e1\u0159\u00ed rozd\u00edly ve mzd\u00e1ch.<\/p>\n
Zaj\u00edmav\u00e9 je, \u017ee jsem sledoval kolegy ekonomy. Je vid\u011bt, kdo je v N\u00e1rodn\u00ed ekonomick\u00e9 rad\u011b vl\u00e1dy (NERV) a kdo mimo. Ti, co jsou v NERVu \u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed n\u011bco ve smyslu, je to sice teoreticky mo\u017en\u00e9, ale prakticky bych na to nespol\u00e9hal. Ti, co jsou mimo NERV a a\u010dkoli pracuj\u00ed pro velk\u00e9 banky, \u0159\u00edkaj\u00ed rovnou, \u017ee to je blbost.
\nTi, co se sna\u017e\u00ed premi\u00e9ra h\u00e1jit, tvrd\u00ed n\u011bco ve smyslu, \u017ee kdyby hodn\u011b pos\u00edlila koruna a hodn\u011b rostly mzdy, tak by to \u0161lo. Jen\u017ee to je na \u00farovni toho, kdybych \u0159\u00edkal, \u017ee za podm\u00ednky, \u017ee zde nalezneme ob\u0159\u00ed lo\u017eisko ropy, tak to mo\u017en\u00e9 je.<\/p>\n
Jin\u00ed ekonomov\u00e9 dopo\u010d\u00edt\u00e1vaj\u00ed, \u017ee za p\u0159edpokladu, \u017ee v N\u011bmecku poroste mzda jako b\u011bhem posledn\u00edch 10 let, tak by \u010desk\u00e9 mzdy musely r\u016fst ka\u017ed\u00fd rok o 28 %. To je nere\u00e1ln\u00e9, tomu jsme se v posledn\u00edch 20 letech ani nebl\u00ed\u017eili.<\/p>\n
Z pohledu teorie by mzda m\u011bla odr\u00e1\u017eet tempo r\u016fstu produktivity v ekonomice. Pokud bude vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed, tak to vyvol\u00e1 jen infla\u010dn\u00ed tlaky, co\u017e nechceme. Negativa vysok\u00e9 inflace jsme p\u0159itom vid\u011bli v roce 2022, kdy vyvolala re\u00e1ln\u00fd pokles mezd a pokles \u017eivotn\u00ed \u00farovn\u011b.<\/p>\n
R\u016fst produktivity m\u016f\u017eeme aproximovat r\u016fstem HDP. St\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed vl\u00e1da o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1, \u017ee v p\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00edm roce poroste ekonomika o 2,5 %. To je jak nic. To k velk\u00e9mu r\u016fstu mezd nepovede. Je to v\u00fdsm\u011bch teorii.
\nKoho by t\u00e9ma v\u00edce zaj\u00edmalo, m\u016f\u017ee se pod\u00edvat na pr\u00e1ci nositele Nobelovy cena Roberta Solowa, kter\u00fd hezky vysv\u011btluje vztah mezi produktivitou pr\u00e1ce a mzdami v z\u00e1vislosti na kapit\u00e1lu na pracovn\u00edka a technologick\u00e9m pokroku.<\/p>\n
<\/p>\n
Vladim\u00edr PIKORA<\/a>, hlavn\u00ed ekonom skupiny Comfort Finance Group<\/strong><\/p>\n Ps\u00e1no pro Den\u00edk.to<\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Premi\u00e9r n\u00e1m <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":329500,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"gallery","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11,85,121],"tags":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/11\/23\/pikora-231124.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/329327"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=329327"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/329327\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":329501,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/329327\/revisions\/329501"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/329500"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=329327"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=329327"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=329327"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}
\nJin\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvky autora:<\/h6>\n
VLADIM\u00cdR PIKORA: Ceny se zase trhaj\u00ed ze \u0159et\u011bzu<\/a><\/h4>\n
VLADIM\u00cdR PIKORA: Tohle u\u017e nen\u00ed rozpo\u010det, ale v\u00fdsm\u011bch!<\/a><\/h4>\n
VLADIM\u00cdR PIKORA: Inflace roste, ale vl\u00e1da \u0159e\u0161\u00ed sv\u00e9 platy \u2013 kdy se probud\u00ed?<\/a><\/h4>\n
VLADIM\u0154 PIKORA: M\u00e1me tajn\u00fd evropsk\u00fd dluh, ale nev\u00edme, jak ho \u0159e\u0161it<\/a><\/h4>\n
VLADIM\u00cdR PIKORA: Polsko n\u00e1s doh\u00e1n\u00ed ve v\u0161ech sm\u011brech. N\u011bkde je dokonce d\u00e1l ne\u017e my<\/a><\/h4>\n
VLADIM\u00cdR PIKORA: Ceny nemovitost\u00ed zase rostou. Hypot\u00e9ky sice klesaj\u00ed, ale nestoj\u00ed to za \u0159e\u010d<\/a><\/h4>\n
VLADIM\u00cdR PIKORA: \u010cesk\u00fd statistick\u00fd \u00fa\u0159ad dnes zve\u0159ejnil data o \u010dervnov\u00e9m v\u00fdvoji cen v\u00fdrobc\u016f<\/a><\/h4>\n
VLADIM\u00cdR PIKORA: \u00darokov\u00e9 sazby d\u00e1le v\u00fdrazn\u011b klesaj\u00ed<\/a><\/h4>\n
VLADIM\u00cd PIKORA: Inflace brzd\u00ed. Otev\u00edr\u00e1 prostor k mal\u00e9mu sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed \u00farokov\u00fdch sazeb<\/a><\/h4>\n
VLADIM\u00cdR PIKORA: Pr\u016fmysl st\u00e1le pad\u00e1<\/a><\/h4>\n
VLADIM\u00cdR PIKORA: Re\u00e1ln\u00e9 mzdy zase rostou<\/a><\/h4>\n
VLADIM\u00cdR PIKORA: Benz\u00edn a nafta brut\u00e1ln\u011b zdra\u017e\u00ed<\/a><\/h4>\n
\n