{"id":318187,"date":"2024-08-19T11:25:25","date_gmt":"2024-08-19T10:25:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/?p=318187"},"modified":"2024-08-19T11:25:25","modified_gmt":"2024-08-19T10:25:25","slug":"cesky-hydrometeorologicky-ustav-ohlednuti-za-nedeli-18-srpna","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/?p=318187","title":{"rendered":"\u010cESK\u00dd HYDROMETEOROLOGICK\u00dd \u00daSTAV: Ohl\u00e9dnut\u00ed za ned\u011bl\u00ed 18. srpna"},"content":{"rendered":"

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Ned\u011ble 18. srpna n\u00e1m p\u0159inesla siln\u00e9 a hlavn\u011b do \u010cech i velmi siln\u00e9 bou\u0159ky. Poj\u010fme se v kr\u00e1tkosti na tuto situaci pod\u00edvat a zhodnotit ji.<\/h6>\n

P\u0159edpoklady v\u010derej\u0161\u00ed v\u00fdstrahy se bohu\u017eel na \u0159ad\u011b m\u00edst vyplnily. V\u010derej\u0161\u00ed bou\u0159ky m\u011bly kv\u016fli velk\u00e9 vlhkosti, energii a hlavn\u011b pomal\u00e9mu pohybu potenci\u00e1l pro intenzivn\u00ed d\u00e9\u0161\u0165. Nejv\u00edce nam\u011b\u0159ila za tuto epizodu stanice ve Zbirohu a to p\u0159esn\u011b 110 mm. Intenzivn\u00ed sr\u00e1\u017eky byly ale tak\u00e9 na Kr\u00e1lovohradecku, ve st\u0159edn\u00edch \u010cech\u00e1ch nebo Liberecku. Na n\u011bkter\u00fdch stanic\u00edch se \u00fahrny za 10 minut pohybovaly i p\u0159es 15 mm, co\u017e u\u017e je velmi intenzivn\u00ed d\u00e9\u0161\u0165. Ve st\u0159edn\u00edch \u010cech\u00e1ch na intenzivn\u00ed sr\u00e1\u017eky reagovaly i men\u0161\u00ed toky dosa\u017een\u00edm povod\u0148ov\u00fdch stup\u0148\u016f.<\/p>\n

Na mapce n\u00ed\u017ee jsou \u00fahrny sr\u00e1\u017eek do 02:00 za uplynul\u00fdch 24 hodin. V\u0161imn\u011bte si, jak jsou velmi lok\u00e1ln\u00ed. Dob\u0159e to lze ilustrovat na p\u0159\u00edpadu velmi posti\u017een\u00e9 \u0161umavsk\u00e9 obce Stachy. V jej\u00edm bezprost\u0159edn\u00edm okol\u00ed spadlo patrn\u011b kolem 85 mm sr\u00e1\u017eek (velice lok\u00e1ln\u011b mo\u017en\u00e1 i v\u00edc) za kr\u00e1tkou dobu, jen n\u011bkolik km vedle byly ale \u00fahrny polovi\u010dn\u00ed. Takt\u00e9\u017e na Zbiro\u017esku je maxim\u00e1ln\u00ed oblast sr\u00e1\u017eek kolem 100 mm velmi omezen\u00e1. Op\u011bt se tedy jasn\u011b ukazuje, \u017ee p\u0159esn\u00e1 p\u0159edpov\u011b\u010f bou\u0159ek a p\u0159eh\u00e1n\u011bk nen\u00ed mo\u017en\u00e1. A to u\u017e jen z principu, \u017ee \u0159ada numerick\u00fdch model\u016f, jejich\u017e data pomoc\u00ed ikonek, mapek a animac\u00ed zobrazuj\u00ed aplikace, maj\u00ed rozli\u0161en\u00ed jen v \u0159\u00e1du jednotek km.<\/p>\n

Tyto detaily ani teoreticky nejsou schopn\u00e9 zachytit. I kdyby ale rozli\u0161en\u00ed bylo v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed, nen\u00ed p\u0159esn\u00e1 p\u0159edpov\u011b\u010f t\u011bchto jev\u016f re\u00e1ln\u00e1. V\u00fdstrahy tak v\u017edy jen ozna\u010duj\u00ed oblast, kde se s nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnost\u00ed intenzivn\u00ed bou\u0159ky mohou vyskytnout, ale rozhodn\u011b se extr\u00e9my nevyskytnou na \u00fazem\u00ed v\u0161ude. Bodov\u00e1 p\u0159edpov\u011b\u010f de\u0161t\u011b z aplikac\u00ed v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b lok\u00e1ln\u00edch bou\u0159ek a p\u0159eh\u00e1n\u011bk tedy nefunguje a nelze se na ni spol\u00e9hat. Smysl m\u00e1 sledovat hlavn\u011b aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed nam\u011b\u0159en\u00e1 a re\u00e1ln\u00e1 radarov\u00e1 data (nikoliv modelov\u00e1). V p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b plo\u0161n\u011bj\u0161\u00edho de\u0161t\u011b je ale bodov\u00e1 p\u0159edpov\u011b\u010f na\u0161t\u011bst\u00ed mnohem v\u011brohodn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. N\u00ed\u017ee p\u0159ikl\u00e1d\u00e1me je\u0161t\u011b grafickou mapku v\u00fdskytu blesk\u016f za v\u010derej\u0161\u00ed den. P\u0159ejeme v\u0161em posti\u017een\u00fdm lidem po v\u010derej\u0161\u00edch bou\u0159k\u00e1ch brzk\u00e9 vy\u0159e\u0161en\u00ed v\u0161ech jejich probl\u00e9m\u016f.<\/p>\n

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\u010cESK\u00dd HYDROMETEOROLOGICK\u00dd \u00daSTAV<\/strong><\/p>\n

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Ned\u011ble 18. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":318230,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"gallery","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[179],"tags":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/08\/19\/mapy-bourky.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/318187"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=318187"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/318187\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":318232,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/318187\/revisions\/318232"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/318230"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=318187"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=318187"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=318187"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}