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Praha 17. \u010dervence 2024 (PROTEXT) –\u00a0Ceny zem\u011bd\u011blsk\u00fdch v\u00fdrobc\u016f v \u010dervnu meziro\u010dn\u011b poklesly o 7,5 %. To se dalo \u010dekat. Jsme nyn\u00ed v klesaj\u00edc\u00edm trendu. Ten jen brzd\u00ed, proto\u017ee p\u0159edchoz\u00ed poklesy byly opravdu velk\u00e9.<\/h4>\n<\/p>\n
Kdy\u017e se pod\u00edv\u00e1me, co nejv\u00edce zlev\u0148uje, vid\u00edme obil\u00ed. Ani to nen\u00ed p\u0159ekvapiv\u00e9 i to je v trendu s t\u00edm, jak se do Evropy dost\u00e1v\u00e1 obil\u00ed z Ukrajiny. To pochopiteln\u011b d\u011bl\u00e1 vr\u00e1sky na \u010dele \u010desk\u00fdm zem\u011bd\u011blc\u016fm a obecn\u011b v\u0161em evropsk\u00fdm, kte\u0159\u00ed maj\u00ed probl\u00e9my cenov\u011b konkurovat.<\/p>\n
Do budoucna o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1m prota\u017een\u00ed trendu, jen poklesy budou ka\u017ed\u00fd m\u011bs\u00edc men\u0161\u00ed. To by se m\u011blo \u010dasem projevit i v ni\u017e\u0161\u00edch cen\u00e1ch potravin.<\/p>\n
Ceny pr\u016fmyslov\u00fdch v\u00fdrobc\u016f se meziro\u010dn\u011b zv\u00fd\u0161ily o 1,0 %, stejn\u011b jako v kv\u011btnu.<\/p>\n
To je extr\u00e9mn\u011b d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e1 zpr\u00e1va, proto\u017ee podle teorie plat\u00ed, \u017ee ceny v pr\u016fmyslu p\u0159edch\u00e1zej\u00ed ceny spot\u0159ebitelsk\u00e9. N\u00edzk\u00fd r\u016fst cen v pr\u016fmyslu tedy d\u00e1v\u00e1 prostor k tomu, aby inflace z\u016fst\u00e1vala u 2 %. To je po letech vysok\u00e9 inflace kl\u00ed\u010dov\u00e1 zpr\u00e1va.<\/p>\n
Nicm\u00e9n\u011b je t\u0159eba se p\u0159ipravit na to, \u017ee z v\u011bt\u0161\u00edho nadhledu je st\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed inflace t\u011b\u017eko udr\u017eiteln\u00e1. P\u0159ijdou k n\u00e1m nov\u00e9, dosud nezn\u00e1m\u00e9 infla\u010dn\u00ed tlaky dan\u00e9 Green Dealem. Green Deal m\u00e1 lidi odradit od spot\u0159eby n\u011bkter\u00fdch polo\u017eek t\u00edm, \u017ee je zdra\u017e\u00ed nebo zak\u00e1\u017ee jejich v\u00fdrobu. Zdra\u017eit by tak m\u011bly pohonn\u00e9 hmoty, uhl\u00ed, bydlen\u00ed apod. To se \u010dasem p\u0159enese i do jin\u00fdch oblast\u00ed.<\/p>\n
U\u017e dnes p\u0159itom m\u00e1me vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed infla\u010dn\u00ed tlaky ne\u017e ve zbytku EU. V kv\u011btnu toti\u017e v EU meziro\u010dn\u011b klesly ceny o 4,0 %.<\/p>\n
Krom\u011b cen v zem\u011bd\u011blstv\u00ed a v pr\u016fmyslu byly zve\u0159ejn\u011bny i ceny slu\u017eeb.<\/p>\n
Ceny tr\u017en\u00edch slu\u017eeb pro podniky byly meziro\u010dn\u011b vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed o 3,5 %. To n\u011bkter\u00e9 lidi d\u011bs\u00ed. J\u00e1 v tom ale nevid\u00edm probl\u00e9m. R\u016fst cen v pr\u016fmyslu u\u017e prob\u011bhl a nyn\u00ed ho se zpo\u017ed\u011bn\u00edm doh\u00e1n\u011bj\u00ed i slu\u017eby, kter\u00e9 zdra\u017eily kv\u016fli r\u016fstu mezd.<\/p>\n
O\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1m, \u017ee \u010cNB bude d\u00e1l sni\u017eovat \u00farokov\u00e9 sazby, proto\u017ee jsou st\u00e1le vysoko a infla\u010dn\u00ed tlaky jsou n\u00edzk\u00e9. Koncem roku bych se proto nedivil, kdyby byl PRIBOR v pr\u016fm\u011bru o jeden procentn\u00ed bod n\u00ed\u017e ne\u017e dnes s t\u00edm, \u017ee krat\u0161\u00ed sazby klesnou rychleji. Hypot\u00e9ky proto je\u0161t\u011b poklesnou, ale nebude to nic z\u00e1sadn\u00edho.<\/p>\n
V roce 2025 a 2026 u\u017e bude \u010cNB s poklesem sazeb velmi opatrn\u00e1. M\u00e1me tu velk\u00e1 infla\u010dn\u00ed rizika ze strany politik\u016f.<\/p>\n
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Vladim\u00edr PIKORA, hlavn\u00ed ekonom skupiny Comfort Finance Group<\/strong><\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/p>\n <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" Praha 17. <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":314234,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"gallery","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[11,85,120],"tags":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/17\/pikora-170724.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/314228"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=314228"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/314228\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":314233,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/314228\/revisions\/314233"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/314234"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=314228"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=314228"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=314228"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}\n
\nJin\u00e9 p\u0159\u00edsp\u011bvky autora:<\/h6>\n
VLADIM\u00cdR PIKORA: \u00darokov\u00e9 sazby d\u00e1le v\u00fdrazn\u011b klesaj\u00ed<\/a><\/h4>\n
VLADIM\u00cd PIKORA: Inflace brzd\u00ed. Otev\u00edr\u00e1 prostor k mal\u00e9mu sn\u00ed\u017een\u00ed \u00farokov\u00fdch sazeb<\/a><\/h4>\n
VLADIM\u00cdR PIKORA: Pr\u016fmysl st\u00e1le pad\u00e1<\/a><\/h4>\n
VLADIM\u00cdR PIKORA: Re\u00e1ln\u00e9 mzdy zase rostou<\/a><\/h4>\n
VLADIM\u00cdR PIKORA: Benz\u00edn a nafta brut\u00e1ln\u011b zdra\u017e\u00ed<\/a><\/h4>\n
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