{"id":300719,"date":"2024-03-14T16:02:12","date_gmt":"2024-03-14T15:02:12","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/?p=300719"},"modified":"2024-03-19T13:53:03","modified_gmt":"2024-03-19T12:53:03","slug":"jaroslav-stefec-mobilizace-pro-valku-na-ukrajine","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/?p=300719","title":{"rendered":"JAROSLAV \u0160TEFEC: Mobilizace pro v\u00e1lku na Ukrajin\u011b?"},"content":{"rendered":"
Dostal jsem zaj\u00edmav\u00fd dotaz: \u201eJak bude A\u010cR \u0159e\u0161it fakt, \u017ee vlastn\u011b nem\u00e1 z\u00e1lohy? T\u011bch p\u00e1r voj\u00e1k\u016f aktivn\u00edch z\u00e1loh to nevy\u0159e\u0161\u00ed, tak\u017ee \u0158ehka a spol. za\u010dali mluvit o p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00e9 mobilizaci a obnoven\u00ed n\u011bjak\u00e9 formy VZS. Co v\u00edm z r\u016fzn\u00fdch zdroj\u016f, tak n\u011bjak\u00e1 forma intervence na UA se v EU p\u0159ipravuje. Jak se d\u00edv\u00e1te na to, \u017ee by se na UA poslali n\u011bkter\u00e9 na\u0161e jednotky a vyhl\u00e1sila by se asi \u010d\u00e1ste\u010dn\u00e1 mobilizace? Podle m\u011b by mobilizace neprob\u011bhla z d\u016fvodu preventivn\u00edho rusk\u00e9ho \u00fatoku na EU. Maj\u00ed to ve vojensk\u00e9 doktr\u00edn\u011b.\u201c<\/h6>\n

\"\"Odpov\u011b\u010f na tuto ot\u00e1zku je podstatn\u011b slo\u017eit\u011bj\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e si v\u011bt\u0161ina lid\u00ed um\u00ed v\u016fbec p\u0159edstavit, a \u010de\u0161t\u00ed politici i generalita A\u010cR jsou v tom u\u017e \u00fapln\u011b mimo. Mobilizace toti\u017e m\u016f\u017ee prob\u011bhnout jen v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b ofici\u00e1ln\u00edho vyhl\u00e1\u0161en\u00ed ohro\u017een\u00ed st\u00e1tu, nebo za v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9ho stavu. Jak to bude prob\u00edhat, je definov\u00e1no v \u00fastav\u011b a navazuj\u00edc\u00edch z\u00e1konech, ne\u0159\u00edd\u00ed se to kecy a fantasmagoriemi politik\u016f. Tak\u017ee vyhl\u00e1s\u00edme Rusku v\u00e1lku? I v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b, \u017ee ji ostatn\u00ed zem\u011b NATO nevyhl\u00e1s\u00ed? Budeme riskovat, \u017ee od n\u00e1s v\u0161ichni daj\u00ed ruce pry\u010d? Poslat lidi do v\u00e1lky, kter\u00e1 nav\u00edc nen\u00ed \u201ena\u0161e\u201c, toti\u017e nen\u00ed legrace, zvl\u00e1\u0161\u0165 kdy\u017e n\u00e1m ji nikdo nevyhla\u0161uje. A to jak z mor\u00e1ln\u00edho, tak mezin\u00e1rodn\u011b-pr\u00e1vn\u00edho hlediska.<\/p>\n

P\u0159edev\u0161\u00edm, Ukrajina nen\u00ed v \u010dist\u011b vojensk\u00e9m smyslu spojeneck\u00e1 zem\u011b ani \u010cR, ani jin\u00e9 zem\u011b NATO. D\u00e1le, \u010cR nen\u00ed a v okam\u017eiku vysl\u00e1n\u00ed voj\u00e1k\u016f podle fantazi\u00ed Macrona asi ani nebude ofici\u00e1ln\u011b ve v\u00e1lce s RF. Z toho plyne za t\u0159et\u00ed, a to si uv\u011bdomuje skute\u010dn\u011b hodn\u011b m\u00e1lo lid\u00ed, \u017ee \u010de\u0161t\u00ed voj\u00e1ci nebudou m\u00edt ani z pohledu Ukrajiny, a u\u017e v\u016fbec ne z pohledu Ruska, na Ukrajin\u011b status \u0159\u00e1dn\u00e9 arm\u00e1dy a nebudou se na n\u011b tud\u00ed\u017e vztahovat \u017eenevsk\u00e9 konvence. Z pohledu b\u011b\u017en\u00fdch Ukrajinc\u016f, z nich\u017e v\u011bt\u0161in\u011b je Zelenskij ukraden\u00fd a v\u00e1lku necht\u011bj\u00ed (co\u017e nen\u00ed moje \u201eprorusk\u00e1 propaganda\u201c, ale fakt, kter\u00fd p\u0159izn\u00e1vaj\u00ed i ofici\u00e1ln\u00ed ukrajinsk\u00e9 zdroje) budeme stejn\u011b jako v Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu sou\u010d\u00e1st\u00ed okupa\u010dn\u00ed arm\u00e1dy NATO, jej\u00ed\u017e pobyt budou muset spolufinancovat.<\/p>\n

Ot\u00e1zka financov\u00e1n\u00ed aktivn\u00ed \u00fa\u010dasti \u010desk\u00fdch voj\u00e1k\u016f na Ukrajin\u011b je toti\u017e zcela z\u00e1sadn\u00ed. V\u00e1lka je setsakramentsky drah\u00e1 v\u011bc. Bude si ji platit \u010cR sama z na\u0161eho \u017eebr\u00e1ck\u00e9ho rozpo\u010dtu? Bude ji platit NATO? EU? USA? Ukrajina, kter\u00e1 nem\u00e1 u\u017e v\u016fbec nic? Kdo bude \u0159e\u0161it logistiku na\u0161ich voj\u00e1k\u016f? Munici, opravy a dod\u00e1vky nov\u00fdch zbran\u00ed, v\u00fdstroje a vybaven\u00ed, v\u010detn\u011b potravin a hygienick\u00fdch pot\u0159eb?<\/p>\n

Mus\u00edme se tak\u00e9 pt\u00e1t kdo, jak, z jak\u00fdch prost\u0159edk\u016f a v jak\u00e9 v\u00fd\u0161i bude platit l\u00e9\u010dbu zran\u011bn\u00fdch, um\u011bl\u00e9 kon\u010detiny, n\u00e1vrat a poh\u0159b\u00edv\u00e1n\u00ed mrtv\u00fdch a kompenzace jejich rodin\u00e1m. Kdo bude platit v\u00e1le\u010dn\u00e9 platy voj\u00e1k\u016f, kter\u00e9 jsou mnohon\u00e1sobn\u011b vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed, ne\u017e civiln\u00ed? T\u011bch mrtv\u00fdch a zran\u011bn\u00fdch tam bude podstatn\u011b v\u00edc ne\u017e v Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu, a to od sam\u00e9ho po\u010d\u00e1tku nasazen\u00ed. Voj\u00e1ci NATO v\u010detn\u011b na\u0161ich budou toti\u017e z mnoha r\u016fzn\u00fdch d\u016fvod\u016f od po\u010d\u00e1tku p\u0159\u00edchodu na Ukrajinu lovnou zv\u011b\u0159\u00ed, a to nejen pro ruskou arm\u00e1du. Bude z\u0159\u00edzen vojensk\u00fd “h\u0159bitov hrdin\u016f” s hrd\u011b vlaj\u00edc\u00edmi \u010desk\u00fdmi vlajkami stejn\u011b, jako to vid\u00edme na Ukrajin\u011b?<\/p>\n

Je tak\u00e9 ot\u00e1zkou, jak\u00e9 \u017ee to jednotky vlastn\u011b cht\u011bj\u00ed na\u0161i v\u00e1lkychtiv\u00ed politici na Ukrajinu poslat. Ty nejvycvi\u010den\u011bj\u0161\u00ed? Nejvybaven\u011bj\u0161\u00ed? Teoreticky tvo\u0159\u00ed bojeschopn\u00e9 j\u00e1dro toho, \u010demu se \u010dist\u011b ze setrva\u010dnosti \u0159\u00edk\u00e1 A\u010cR, proto\u017ee to nen\u00ed skute\u010dn\u00e1 arm\u00e1da, maxim\u00e1ln\u011b kolem 5-7 tis\u00edc mu\u017e\u016f. Jsou nav\u00edc relativn\u011b sta\u0159\u00ed, jejich pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00fd v\u011bk je vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e 30 let. Nejsou po\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b vycvi\u010deni, pr\u016fm\u011brn\u00fd ukrajinsk\u00fd voj\u00e1k, kter\u00fd p\u0159e\u017eije prvn\u00ed m\u011bs\u00edc v z\u00e1kopech (co\u017e je asi 1\/10 lid\u00ed) m\u00e1 podstatn\u011b v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed bojov\u00e9 zku\u0161enosti, ne\u017e nejlep\u0161\u00ed instruktor A\u010cR, kter\u00fd je\u0161t\u011b pro\u0161el Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nem. Co\u017e nebyla ani zdaleka skute\u010dn\u00e1 v\u00e1lka.<\/p>\n

A kolik voj\u00e1k\u016f tam vlastn\u011b po\u0161leme, aby to m\u011blo v\u00fdznam? 100? 500? 1000? V\u00edc? S jakou technikou? Sami nem\u00e1me u\u017e t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 \u017e\u00e1dnou a stejn\u011b tak i Ukrajinci. Aby arm\u00e1da z\u00edskala \u010das a politici neztratili tv\u00e1\u0159 p\u0159ed \u201espojenci\u201c, nab\u00edz\u00ed se logick\u00e9 \u0159e\u0161en\u00ed. Vyhl\u00e1sit ohro\u017een\u00ed st\u00e1tu, povolat aktivn\u00ed z\u00e1lohy a poslat je na Ukrajinu jen se z\u00e1kladn\u00ed v\u00fdbavou. Co\u017e umo\u017e\u0148uj\u00ed z\u00e1kon \u010d\u00edslo 585\/2004 Sb., o brann\u00e9 povinnosti a jej\u00edm zaji\u0161\u0165ov\u00e1n\u00ed (brann\u00fd z\u00e1kon) a z\u00e1kon 45\/2016 Sb., o slu\u017eb\u011b voj\u00e1k\u016f v z\u00e1loze. Ostatn\u011b u\u017e asi stovka “aktivist\u016f” byla v Afgh\u00e1nist\u00e1nu. Z\u00edskal by se \u010das na povol\u00e1v\u00e1n\u00ed a v\u00fdcvik dal\u0161\u00edch lid\u00ed a na p\u0159\u00edpravu profesion\u00e1l\u016f na bojov\u00e9 nasazen\u00ed. T\u011bch p\u00e1r bojeschopn\u00fdch, co z\u016fstane, by pak mohlo fungovat jako instrukto\u0159i pro nov\u011b p\u0159\u00edchoz\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Ani sou\u010dasn\u00ed profesion\u00e1lov\u00e9, voj\u00e1ci z povol\u00e1n\u00ed, nejsou po\u0159\u00e1dn\u011b vycvi\u010deni, secvi\u010deni a vybaveni, nemaj\u00ed bojov\u00e9 n\u00e1vyky. Pro aktivn\u00ed z\u00e1lohy to plat\u00ed dvojn\u00e1sob. Pokud by se dostaly do re\u00e1ln\u00e9ho boje, budou m\u00edt stra\u0161n\u00e9 ztr\u00e1ty a v prvn\u00ed f\u00e1zi budou sp\u00ed\u0161 p\u0159ek\u00e1\u017eet. I samotn\u00ed Ameri\u010dan\u00e9 si za\u010d\u00ednaj\u00ed uv\u011bdomovat, \u017ee p\u0159es v\u0161echny jejich z\u00e1kladny po cel\u00e9m sv\u011bt\u011b jsou na Ukrajin\u011b p\u0159ece jen pon\u011bkud mimo a pos\u00edlat tam um\u00edrat vlastn\u00ed voj\u00e1ky se jim nechce. Proto budou jen r\u00e1di, kdy\u017e je tam po\u0161lou poslu\u0161n\u00e9 a zfanatizovan\u00e9 vl\u00e1dy zem\u00ed EU. Ta v\u00e1lka toti\u017e vypad\u00e1 \u00fapln\u011b jinak, ne\u017e na jakou se cel\u00e9 NATO u\u017e od 90. let p\u0159ipravuje. V\u00edc k tomu asi nem\u00e1m co dodat.<\/p>\n

FB \u2013\u00a0<\/strong>Jaroslav \u0160TEFEC<\/a>, vojensk\u00fd analytik<\/strong><\/p>\n

\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Dostal jsem <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":300720,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"gallery","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[85],"tags":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/03\/14\/ram-stefec-mobilizace.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/300719"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=300719"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/300719\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":300721,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/300719\/revisions\/300721"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/300720"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=300719"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=300719"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=300719"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}