{"id":281581,"date":"2023-06-21T13:00:30","date_gmt":"2023-06-21T12:00:30","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/?p=281581"},"modified":"2023-06-21T21:28:09","modified_gmt":"2023-06-21T20:28:09","slug":"cesky-hydrometeorologicky-ustav-aktualne-21-cervna","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/?p=281581","title":{"rendered":"\u010cESK\u00dd HYDROMETEOROLOGICK\u00dd \u00daSTAV: Aktu\u00e1ln\u011b – 21. \u010dervna"},"content":{"rendered":"

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AKTUALIZACE – 22 hod.<\/h4>\n

Bou\u0159ky se z na\u0161eho \u00fazem\u00ed odsunuly d\u00e1le na Slovensko a do Polska. Ji\u017en\u00ed polovinu na\u0161eho \u00fazem\u00ed zas\u00e1hl siln\u00fd konvektivn\u00ed syst\u00e9m, kter\u00fd vznikl ji\u017e v noci z \u00faterka nad Franci\u00ed. Doprov\u00e1zela ho rozs\u00e1hl\u00e1 v\u011btrn\u00e1 bou\u0159e, kdy n\u00e1razy v\u011btru v dlouh\u00e9m p\u00e1su dosahovaly rychlost\u00ed p\u0159es 25 m\/s (90 km\/h) a na n\u011bkolika stanic\u00edch ve \u0160v\u00fdcarsku a N\u011bmecku dokonce p\u0159es 40 m\/s (144 km\/h). Takov\u00e9 v\u011btrn\u00e9 bou\u0159e zp\u016fsoben\u00e9 bou\u0159kov\u00fdm syst\u00e9mem, kter\u00e9 p\u016fsob\u00ed siln\u00fd v\u00edtr se \u0161kodami v dr\u00e1ze del\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e 400 km ozna\u010dujeme jako derecho (\u010dti dere\u010do). Na v\u00fdchod\u011b a severov\u00fdchod\u011b republiky se tak\u00e9 objevilo n\u011bkolik supercel s kroupami i kolem 2 cm a downbursty (propady studen\u00e9ho vzduchu doprov\u00e1zen\u00e9 v\u00fdrazn\u00fdm n\u00e1razovit\u00fdm v\u011btrem.). Jedna takov\u00e1 zas\u00e1hla a zp\u016fsobila zna\u010dn\u00e9 \u0161kody v obci Otice u Opavy.<\/h6>\n

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AKTUALIZACE – 14,15 hod.<\/h4>\n

Linie bou\u0159ek u\u017e dorazila k na\u0161im hranic\u00edm, reagovali jsme vyd\u00e1n\u00edm v\u00fdstrahy p\u0159ed pozorovan\u00fdm jevem pro jih a jihoz\u00e1pad \u010cech. Linie je doprov\u00e1zena n\u00e1razy v\u011btru pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b kolem 90 km\/h, p\u0159\u00edvalov\u00fdmi sr\u00e1\u017ekami a ojedin\u011ble i men\u0161\u00edmi kroupami. P\u00e1smo bude postupovat k severov\u00fdchodu a\u017e v\u00fdchodu. Tak\u00e9 na Morav\u011b se mohou b\u011bhem odpoledne vytv\u00e1\u0159et d\u00edky dostupn\u00e9 energii a dobr\u00e9 podpo\u0159e i supercel\u00e1rn\u00ed bou\u0159e s rizikem v\u011bt\u0161\u00edch krup. Lokalizace jednotliv\u00fdch bun\u011bk je ale nejist\u00e1.<\/h6>\n
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Aktu\u00e1ln\u011b: Moment\u00e1ln\u011b (cca 13 hod.) se nad Bavorskem nach\u00e1z\u00ed syst\u00e9m bou\u0159ek, na jeho\u017e \u010dele se vyskytuj\u00ed velmi siln\u00e9 n\u00e1razy v\u011btru o s\u00edle a\u017e 25 m\/s, ve vy\u0161\u0161\u00edch poloh\u00e1ch dokonce a\u017e 40 m\/s! Syst\u00e9m v n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00edch hodin\u00e1ch doraz\u00ed na \u0160umavu a m\u011bl by p\u0159i sv\u00e9m postupu d\u00e1le k v\u00fdchodu a\u017e jihov\u00fdchodu ovlivnit zejm\u00e9na ji\u017en\u00ed \u010d\u00e1sti na\u0161eho \u00fazem\u00ed.<\/h6>\n

V\u00fdstrahu p\u0159ed bou\u0159kami jsme \u0159e\u0161ili i dnes. P\u0159\u00ed\u010dinou je toti\u017e studen\u00e1 fronta, kter\u00e1 se bude nad st\u0159edn\u00ed Evropou vlnit jak dnes, tak i z\u00edtra. P\u0159ed n\u00ed k n\u00e1m proud\u00ed tepl\u00fd a vlhk\u00fd vzduch od jihu, kter\u00fd je zna\u010dn\u011b labiln\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Dnes o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1me v odpoledn\u00edch a hlavn\u011b ve\u010dern\u00edch hodin\u00e1ch m\u00edstn\u00ed v\u00fdskyt p\u0159eh\u00e1n\u011bk nebo bou\u0159ek, kter\u00e9 budou m\u00edt hlavn\u011b v ji\u017en\u00ed a v\u00fdchodn\u00ed \u010d\u00e1sti republiky (oran\u017eov\u00e1 v\u00fdstraha) zna\u010dn\u00fd potenci\u00e1l ke tvorb\u011b velmi siln\u00fdch nebezpe\u010dn\u00fdch jev\u016f. Na ostatn\u00edm \u00fazem\u00ed velmi silnou bou\u0159ku vylou\u010dit rovn\u011b\u017e nem\u016f\u017eeme, ale vzhledem k pom\u011brn\u011b velk\u00e9 nejistot\u011b jejich vzniku budeme situaci sledovat a p\u0159\u00edpadn\u011b reagovat vyd\u00e1n\u00edm v\u00fdstrahy p\u0159ed pozorovan\u00fdm jevem.<\/p>\n

Nejv\u011bt\u0161\u00edm rizikem dne\u0161n\u00edch bou\u0159ek budou zejm\u00e9na ojedin\u011bl\u00e9 n\u00e1razy v\u011btru nad 25 m\/s a kroupy v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed ne\u017e 2 cm. V p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00fdch supercel\u00e1ch, kter\u00e9 se mohou d\u00edky dostate\u010dn\u00e9 podpo\u0159e st\u0159ihu v\u011btru vyskytnout, budou projevy je\u0161t\u011b o n\u011bco siln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed. Doprovodn\u00fdm jevem budou i p\u0159\u00edvalov\u00e9 sr\u00e1\u017eky, ojedin\u011ble s \u00fahrny a\u017e kolem 40 mm, ale vzhledem k men\u0161\u00edmu nasycen\u00ed a v\u011bt\u0161inou rychlej\u0161\u00edmu pohybu bou\u0159ek by potenci\u00e1l \u0161kodit m\u011bl b\u00fdt z nebezpe\u010dn\u00fdch jev\u016f nejmen\u0161\u00ed.<\/p>\n

Z\u00edt\u0159ej\u0161\u00ed situace bude je\u0161t\u011b o n\u011bco p\u0159\u00edzniv\u011bj\u0161\u00ed pro tvorbu bou\u0159\u00ed, kter\u00e9 budou schopny produkovat i velmi intenzivn\u00ed projevy, a to zejm\u00e9na velmi siln\u00e9 n\u00e1razy v\u011btru nad 25 m\/s, velk\u00e9 kroupy, ojedin\u011ble i k 5 cm a p\u0159\u00edvalov\u00e9 sr\u00e1\u017eky s \u00fahrny kolem 50 mm. Stejn\u011b jako dnes je zna\u010dn\u00e1 nejistota v lokalizaci, proto budeme v\u00fdstrahu b\u011bhem z\u00edt\u0159ej\u0161\u00edho dopoledne upravovat a up\u0159es\u0148ovat jak m\u00edstem v\u00fdskytu, tak i stupn\u011bm nebezpe\u010d\u00ed. Nejsiln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed bou\u0159e o\u010dek\u00e1v\u00e1me z\u00edtra ve\u010der a v noci na p\u00e1tek hlavn\u011b v \u010cech\u00e1ch, zejm\u00e9na v z\u00e1padn\u00ed polovin\u011b.<\/p>\n

Obr. 1:<\/strong> Aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed (12:00 SEL\u010c) radarov\u00e1 situace ve st\u0159edn\u00ed Evrop\u011b (CERAD). Na n\u00ed je patrn\u00fd bou\u0159kov\u00fd syst\u00e9m nad Bavorskem, kter\u00fd postupuje sm\u011brem k n\u00e1m.<\/p>\n

Obr. 2:<\/strong> Simulovan\u00e1 radarov\u00e1 odrazivost modelu Aladin dnes ve\u010der. V ji\u017en\u00edch \u010cech\u00e1ch viditeln\u00e1 linie bou\u0159ek, kter\u00e1 k n\u00e1m doraz\u00ed z Bavorska a bude postupovat k v\u00fdchodu a\u017e jihov\u00fdchodu.<\/p>\n

Obr. 3:<\/strong> Zna\u010dn\u00e1 nejistota v poloze st\u0159edu tlakov\u00e9 n\u00ed\u017ee na z\u00edt\u0159ej\u0161\u00ed poledne, kter\u00e1 pak ovliv\u0148uje i nejistotu v poloze front\u00e1ln\u00edch syst\u00e9m\u016f a na n\u011b navazuj\u00edc\u00edch projev\u016f po\u010das\u00ed.<\/p>\n

#bou\u0159ky<\/a>\u00a0#KonvektivniSkupina<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n

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Text a obr\u00e1zky: FB \u2013 \u010cesk\u00fd hydrometeorologick\u00fd \u00fastav<\/a><\/strong><\/p>\n

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\u010cESK\u00dd HYDROMETEOROLOGICK\u00dd \u00daSTAV: Aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed v\u00fdstraha<\/a><\/h1>\n
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Mapa\u00a0varov\u00e1n\u00ed p\u0159ed pozorovan\u00fdmi jevy, kter\u00e9 vy\u017eaduj\u00ed mimo\u0159\u00e1dnou pozornost a p\u0159\u00edpadn\u011b rychlou reakci p\u0159i ochran\u011b majetku a zdrav\u00ed obyvatelstva je ZDE<\/a><\/h1>\n
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  AKTUALIZACE <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":281587,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"gallery","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[110],"tags":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2023\/06\/21\/ram-pocasi-2106.jpg","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/281581"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=281581"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/281581\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":281618,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/281581\/revisions\/281618"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/281587"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=281581"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=281581"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=281581"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}