{"id":234229,"date":"2021-09-01T17:30:51","date_gmt":"2021-09-01T16:30:51","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/?p=234229"},"modified":"2021-09-01T17:31:52","modified_gmt":"2021-09-01T16:31:52","slug":"analyza-cs-sporitelny-rvacka-mezi-praci-a-kapitalem-zmena-navrhu-statniho-rozpoctu-na-rok-2022","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/?p=234229","title":{"rendered":"ANAL\u00ddZA \u010cS. SPO\u0158ITELNY: Rva\u010dka mezi prac\u00ed a kapit\u00e1lem, zm\u011bna n\u00e1vrhu st\u00e1tn\u00edho rozpo\u010dtu 2022"},"content":{"rendered":"

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Rva\u010dka mezi prac\u00ed a kapit\u00e1lem se brzo asi obnov\u00ed<\/h6>\n

Z\u00a0nov\u00fdch \u010d\u00edsel \u010cS\u00da o \u010desk\u00e9m HDP lze mimo jin\u00e9 spo\u010d\u00edtat nap\u0159\u00edklad odpov\u011b\u010f na ot\u00e1zku, jak velk\u00e1 \u010d\u00e1st odm\u011bny za v\u00fdkon ekonomiky v\u00a0leto\u0161n\u00edm 2. \u010dtvrtlet\u00ed \u0161la do kapes zam\u011bstnanc\u016fm (n\u00e1klady na pr\u00e1ci neboli \u201en\u00e1hrady zam\u011bstnanc\u016fm\u201c) versus do kapes vlastn\u00edk\u016fm firem a podnikatel\u016fm (n\u00e1klady na kapit\u00e1l neboli \u201ehrub\u00fd provozn\u00ed p\u0159ebytek a sm\u00ed\u0161en\u00fd d\u016fchod\u201c).\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\"\"\"\"Nu\u017ee n\u00e1klady pr\u00e1ce \u010dinily zhruba 50 % celkov\u00e9 \u201ehrub\u00e9 p\u0159idan\u00e9 hodnoty\u201c (HPH). Kolem t\u00e9to hladiny se pod\u00edl pohybuje u\u017e od za\u010d\u00e1tku roku 2020.<\/p>\n

Mohli bychom tedy \u0159\u00edct, \u017ee koronakrize nedok\u00e1zala tento pod\u00edl zm\u011bnit. Trefn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed je ale sp\u00ed\u0161 pozorov\u00e1n\u00ed, \u017ee koronakrize dok\u00e1zala zastavit r\u016fst tohoto pod\u00edlu: v p\u0159edchoz\u00edch letech toti\u017e nar\u016fstal vcelku svi\u017en\u00fdm tempem o cca p\u016fl procentn\u00edho bodu ro\u010dn\u011b. \u0160lo o logick\u00fd d\u016fsledek nerovnov\u00e1\u017en\u011b n\u00edzk\u00e9 nezam\u011bstnanosti (kter\u00fd lze ch\u00e1pat jako d\u016fsledek nerovnov\u00e1\u017en\u011b n\u00edzk\u00e9 \u00farovn\u011b mezd).<\/p>\n

R\u016fst pod\u00edlu pr\u00e1ce na HPH lze interpretovat tak, \u017ee pr\u00e1ce si v\u00a0letech p\u0159ed pandemi\u00ed z\u00a0celkov\u00e9ho vyroben\u00e9ho kol\u00e1\u010de \u201ervala\u201c \u010d\u00edm d\u00e1l v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed kus. Covid tento trend zastavil, nicm\u00e9n\u011b p\u0159i pohledu na aktu\u00e1ln\u00ed stav \u010desk\u00e9ho trhu pr\u00e1ce lze p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dat, \u017ee se k\u00a0onomu trendu brzo zase vr\u00e1t\u00edme.<\/p>\n

Deficit na rok 2022 sn\u00ed\u017een jen kosmeticky<\/h6>\n

Ministerstvo financi ozn\u00e1milo, \u017ee na vl\u00e1du p\u0159inese \u00fapravu n\u00e1vrhu st\u00e1tn\u00edho rozpo\u010dtu na rok 2022, z\u00a0n\u00ed\u017e bude oproti \u010dervnov\u00e9mu v\u00fdkopu (390 mld. K\u010d) plynout deficit jen o 13 mld. K\u010d ni\u017e\u0161\u00ed. Ministerstvo s\u00a0a\u017e dojemnou demagogi\u00ed srovn\u00e1v\u00e1 tento n\u00e1vrh s\u00a0pl\u00e1nem na leto\u0161ek (500 mld. K\u010d), p\u0159esto\u017ee u\u017e je vcelku z\u0159ejm\u00e9, \u017ee leto\u0161ek dopadne oproti pl\u00e1nu o dobr\u00fdch 100 mld. K\u010d l\u00edp, tak\u017ee meziro\u010dn\u00ed zlep\u0161en\u00ed nebude 500-377 = 123 mld. K\u010d, n\u00fdbr\u017e o mnoho des\u00edtek mld. K\u010d m\u00e9n\u011b<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Ministerstvo se chlub\u00ed taky t\u00edm, \u017ee v\u00a0upraven\u00e9m n\u00e1vrhu jsou investice v\u00a0objemu 218 mld. K\u010d (p\u016fvodn\u00ed n\u00e1vrh obsahoval 189 mld. K\u010d), co\u017e p\u0159edstavuje 11,4 % celkov\u00fdch v\u00fddaj\u016f. To je ve srovn\u00e1n\u00ed s\u00a0minul\u00fdmi lety skute\u010dn\u011b hodn\u011b (nap\u0159. v\u00a0roce 2017 to bylo jen 6,4 %).\u00a0Je ov\u0161em ot\u00e1zka, zda je dobr\u00e9 rozj\u00ed\u017ed\u011bt ve velk\u00e9m vl\u00e1dn\u00ed investice v\u00a0dob\u011b, kdy bude nejsp\u00ed\u0161 cht\u00edt rozjet investice i soukrom\u00fd sektor. Zejm\u00e9na u stavebn\u00edch investic m\u016f\u017ee doch\u00e1zet ke kolizi a r\u016fstu cen, a to m\u016f\u017ee leckterou firmu od investic nakonec odradit. St\u00e1t by m\u011bl zkr\u00e1tka hodn\u011b investovat zejm\u00e9na v\u00a0dob\u011b, kdy firmy necht\u011bj\u00ed. P\u0159\u00ed\u0161t\u00ed rok to bude bohu\u017eel p\u0159esn\u011b naopak.<\/p>\n

Na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b za rozumn\u00e9 lze ozna\u010dit udr\u017een\u00ed \u00famyslu nezvy\u0161ovat objem plat\u016f na st\u00e1tn\u00ed zam\u011bstnance v kombinaci se sni\u017eov\u00e1n\u00edm po\u010dtu t\u011bchto zam\u011bstnanc\u016f, tak\u017ee platy t\u011bch nepropu\u0161t\u011bn\u00fdch nebo nov\u011b p\u0159ijat\u00fdch m\u016f\u017eou r\u016fst tak, aby pr\u00e1ce ve st\u00e1tn\u00edm sektoru byla p\u0159ita\u017eliv\u00e1 pro lidi, kte\u0159\u00ed dok\u00e1\u017eou zv\u00fd\u0161it jeho efektivnost (jen aby praxe odpov\u00eddala t\u011bmto bohulib\u00fdm \u00famysl\u016fm). V tiskov\u00e9 zpr\u00e1v\u011b se na\u0161t\u011bst\u00ed nezmi\u0148uje\u00a0ned\u00e1vno zazn\u011bl\u00fd absurdn\u00ed n\u00e1pad pan\u00ed ministryn\u011b (v\u00edc k jeho absurdnosti\u00a0ZDE) oslabit neudr\u017eitelnost ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho hospoda\u0159en\u00ed t\u00edm, \u017ee budou zmrazeny platy hasi\u010d\u016f a policist\u016f.<\/p>\n

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Michal SKO\u0158EPA,\u00a0ekonom \u010cesk\u00e9 spo\u0159itelny a \u010dlen V\u00fdboru pro rozpo\u010dtov\u00e9 progn\u00f3zy<\/strong><\/p>\n

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  Rva\u010dka <\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":216005,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"gallery","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[19],"tags":[],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/2021\/02\/16\/\u010desk\u00e1-spo\u0159itelna-logo.png","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/234229"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=234229"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/234229\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":234233,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/234229\/revisions\/234233"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/216005"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=234229"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=234229"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/zakrasnejsivimperk.cz\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=234229"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}